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Various Deaths From The Corona Virus 

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  #81  
Old 03-13-2020, 03:56 AM
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Re: Corona Virus

[QUOTE=Johnny Wadd;6644121]

That is so irresponsible to be posted at a Dr office. People keep downplaying the virus. It's better to be safe than sorry. By this time next week, the US is going to be in deep shit.

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  #82  
Old 03-13-2020, 04:45 AM
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Re: Corona Virus

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Originally Posted by Sibella View Post
By this time next week, the US is going to be in deep shit.
From the looks of the way it's going, I think we all will be

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  #83  
Old 03-13-2020, 08:30 AM
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Re: Corona Virus

Sorry guys, is this where I come to complain about that disease that appears only to affect politicians, and celebrities that suck?

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  #84  
Old 03-13-2020, 08:33 AM
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Re: Corona Virus

This is big time horrible guys!
I'm going to miss Tom Hanks and my Prime Minister so effing much.

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  #85  
Old 03-13-2020, 11:57 AM
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Re: Corona Virus

[QUOTE=Sibella;6644630]
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Originally Posted by Johnny Wadd View Post


That is so irresponsible to be posted at a Dr office. People keep downplaying the virus. It's better to be safe than sorry. By this time next week, the US is going to be in deep shit.
I don't feel like it's being down played. People have been cautioned, wash their hands, stay home if they're sick. Encouraging hoarding behavior and causing panic isn't the way to go, period. I don't know what more people want?

When it comes to testing I think a major part of the problem is: people that aren't vulnerable/subseptable to disease are clogging up the lines/hospitals with their basic bitch symptoms instead of just staying home, recovering there (because they're healthy enough to fight it at home without medical intervention....) not potentionally exposing themselves... and anyone else unnecessarily.

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  #86  
Old 03-13-2020, 03:19 PM
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Re: Corona Virus

Satire!


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  #87  
Old 03-13-2020, 04:39 PM
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Re: Corona Virus

US just declared national emergency.

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  #88  
Old 03-13-2020, 05:40 PM
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Re: Corona Virus

just some facts based on probability. if you are under 65, dont have a compromised immune system and you catch the coronavirus...you chances of dying are actually 0.7%.

here is the math(s) to prove it, for those who care, there is a link below explaining the whole thing:

Quote:
Coronavirus and Probability — The media must learn how to report statistics now

With widespread panic around COVID-19, the media must learn the difference now between two hugely different statistics.



basically, the TL:DR version is: There is a difference between conditional and unconditional probability. A huge one. "Learn what an unconditional probability tells you. When we hear about a mortality rate of 3.4%, what we are actually being told is that of all the people who have contracted COVID-19, 3.4% of them have died (past tense). It does not mean that in a room of 100 people with covid, 3 people will die. Unconditional probabilities can tell us about the past and can tell us simple statistics that leave out important and vital information. Unconditional probabilities should never be used to make claims about the future."

also "For the media: Stop reporting unconditional probabilities. Instead try: “less than 1% of those contracting COVID-19 who are under the age of 65 have died” or “less than 1% of people without underlying health conditions have died from COVID-19”. Of course, this risks separating readers by age and health, but it’s a start."

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  #89  
Old 03-13-2020, 05:42 PM
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Re: Corona Virus

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Originally Posted by Steve 1 View Post
Interesting site shared among Hospitals reseaching the cov-19 genome.

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This phylogeny shows evolutionary relationships of HCoV-19 viruses from the ongoing novel coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic. All samples are still closely related with few mutations relative to a common ancestor, suggesting a shared common ancestor some time in Nov-Dec 2019. This indicates an initial human infection in Nov-Dec 2019 followed by sustained human-to-human transmission leading to sampled infections.

Site numbering and genome structure uses Wuhan-Hu-1/2019 as reference. The phylogeny is rooted relative to early samples from Wuhan. Temporal resolution assumes a nucleotide substitution rate of 5 × 10^-4 subs per site per year.
Seattle cluster came from China.
California and Wisconsin cluster came from China.
Washington cluster came from South Korea.
NY cluster came from Iran.
So none from the EU. Maybe way later but still allow the U.K flying to the U.S and other countries but not EU countries is b.s.
Not to mention domestic flights still going on that can spread the virus.

click play button.
https://nextstrain.org/ncov?f_country=USA

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  #90  
Old 03-13-2020, 05:47 PM
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Re: Corona Virus

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Originally Posted by Johnny Wadd View Post


the doctor is correct. they are using actual conditional probability and applying it accurately....like a doctor SHOULD. nothing they said was untrue or misleading about the virus. the political shit...that's their deal and i dont care for it but thats a different post.

if you are under 65 and dont have a compromised immune system and you get the coronavirus, the conditional (meaning, you are confirmed to have it currently) probability of you dying from the coronavirus is 0.7%.

the unconditional probability of dying from the virus is 3.4%.....which means 'of the people who have gotten it, 3.4% HAVE died'...not 'if you get it, 3.4% WILL die'.

if the majority of those people have been over 65 or have had compromised immune systems....then that should be noted. if you arent in those groups, the probability of you dying from the coronavirus is around 0.7%

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