[Faust]

Yeah that is the spirit girl/woman!

[WhiskeyOutpost]

To expect any source to be 100% accurate is absurd. But ISW is more accurate than almost any Russian or pro-Russian source, on their worst day.

I have not made the observation that ISW has become more "neutral" or even conservative. They seem to be pretty consistent and most of what they say turns out to be accurate.

[WonderMomma]

"Loading on January 25 of the American BMP M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA on the ARC Integrity ro-ro-carrier for subsequent transfer to Ukraine

Judging by the photo, we will receive the M2A2 ODS-SA upgrade, and not ODS, as previously assumed. It appeared in 2003, 10 years later, and its characteristics are almost identical to the M2A3, except for the absence of the commander's panoramic sight (CIV).

The ship left the port on January 27 and is currently heading to the UK, where it should arrive on February 7."

[WonderMomma]

"How did Russia destroy its gas exports to Europe? - Bloomberg Infographics.

The Northern Stream has been stopped, Yamal-Europe has been stopped, transit through the Ukrainian GTS has been reduced. Only Turkish Stream maintains capacity.

Russia has spent almost 50 years creating its energy market in Europe. Putin destroyed it in less than 50 weeks.""

[WhiskeyOutpost]

Situation at Bakhmut is not looking good for Ukrainian forces. Pulling out of there is a distinct possibility now.

[Faust]

Originally Posted by WhiskeyOutpost ↗

To expect any source to be 100% accurate is absurd. But ISW is more accurate than almost any Russian or pro-Russian source, on their worst day.

I have not made the observation that ISW has become more "neutral" or even conservative. They seem to be pretty consistent and most of what they say turns out to be accurate.

That would mean their reports are predictive, but I view them as reactive.

Compare:
before the race I say “Lance Armstrong will win by a 2 minute lead”
-Or-
5 minutes before the end of the race I say “Lance Armstrong is likely to win with about a 2 minute lead”

The second example I would say is reactive and in line with the times that those ISW reports are ‘accurate’.

[Faust]

Originally Posted by WhiskeyOutpost ↗

Situation at Bakhmut is not looking good for Ukrainian forces. Pulling out of there is a distinct possibility now.

I would not worry too much about it, after all:

[Faust]

(Don’t get me wrong, thank you and everybody for posting!)

[Rfneimad]

Originally Posted by Faust ↗

I would not worry too much about it, after all:

And they are right, its an insignificant town and while Bakhmut is slowly being surrounded its not gonna happen imminently and lead to a cauldron that will facilitate Russian circle jerking.

Its just Russia wasting shit while the Dills up their kill count and try to preserve their forces. Remember Severodonetsk?

[WhiskeyOutpost]

Originally Posted by Faust ↗

That would mean their reports are predictive, but I view them as reactive.

Compare:
before the race I say “Lance Armstrong will win by a 2 minute lead”
-Or-
5 minutes before the end of the race I say “Lance Armstrong is likely to win with about a 2 minute lead”

The second example I would say is reactive and in line with the times that those ISW reports are ‘accurate’.

Not the best analogy. Wars are often fluid and unpredictable and what's going to happen isn't clear until it does or right before it does. Rfneimad is right, look what happened with Russian forces right after Severodonyetsk. They couldn't conduct large scale attacks anymore and Soledar might be the first "town" (not village) they've taken since.