[RedactedKaos]

Originally Posted by WonderMomma ↗

This is the only thing I've seen about it. But I haven't sifted through everything yet. Still catching up.

Above and behond as always thank you for that and damn the 2nd half has my brain going a mile a minute lol great stuff to let your brain chew on.

Originally Posted by WonderMomma ↗

I called this shit!
"Apparently, Evgeny Prigozhin is running for president in Russia 2024

His commercial says, "He prevented the deaths of thousands"

Wait this isnt satire? He is legit running?

[Guns N' Coffee]

[scoRch]

Originally Posted by RedactedKaos ↗

Wait this isnt satire? He is legit running?

If I am not mistaken, Prigozhin wanted to run for president of Ukraine, as well :D
Just imagine that audacity

Edit: oh yep, he really said that :D

Source: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/politics/he...kraine/2843138

[RedactedKaos]

Originally Posted by scoRch ↗

If I am not mistaken, Prigozhin wanted to run for president of Ukraine, as well :D
Just imagine that audacity

Edit: oh yep, he really said that :D

Source: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/politics/he...kraine/2843138

Ha wow crazy shit... Wtf

[ljubodrag]

Sad news from UA.

Employee of National Agency for Corruption Prevention killed in war.



Yuliya Shevchenko, an employee of the National Agency for Corruption Prevention, has been killed in the war on July 31. During the initial months of the full-scale invasion, Yuliya joined the military and served as the deputy commander responsible for morale and psychological support, according to her comrades.

The news was announced by Taras Sukheniuk, Yuliya’s fiancé, who is also a serviceman. He wrote: "On July 31, the heart of this wonderful girl, my fiancée, my future wife, stopped beating. We lost someone who surpassed everyone with her bravery, diligence, and dedication. She was an angel among people, always willing to help anyone in need, whether they asked for it or not. She always used to tell me, 'Taras, we are inseparable lovebirds; we will always be together.' And I would reply, 'Yes, always and forever, my little butterfly.' But unfortunately, it didn’t happen. I love you very much, and I will always love you."

"This young life, full of promise, talents, and a bright future in the field of law and science, was cut short in the pursuit of freedom and independence for her homeland, for her people, and for all of us. The blame falls upon the aggressors who brought war to our land and took her away from us. The entire department shares deep sorrow and extends sincere condolences to Yuliya’s family and loved ones." Yuriy Ponomarenko, the head of the department where Yuliya was studying, wrote.

[WonderMomma]

Originally Posted by WonderMomma ↗

This is the only thing I've seen about it. But I haven't sifted through everything yet. Still catching up.

"The Polish Ministry of Defense reported that on Tuesday evening two Belarusian helicopters conducting exercises near the border violated Polish airspace - Minsk had previously informed Warsaw about these exercises.

In response to the incident, the Polish Defense Minister ordered an increase in the number of soldiers on the border and the deployment of additional forces and means, including combat helicopters.

Poland also informed NATO about the incident and decided to summon the Charge d'Affaires of Belarus to the Foreign Ministry to explain the incident.

Local OSINT researchers analyzing open data found that the helicopters flew from Belarus to Poland near the village of Grudki, went about three kilometers into the country, turned around and flew over Belovezha."
Attachment 1199105

And just some analysis.

"Vadym Denysenko, the executive director of the UIF @ Future_ui, shares his thoughts on:

What do Niger and Belarusian helicopters over Poland have in common?

Russia is trying to create two new points of tension in the world: one on the Polish-Belarusian border and the other in Niger.

The goal is the same: to distract the West from Ukraine, reduce weapons supplies and try to force the West and Ukraine to negotiate.

As for Belarus:

Russians might launch provocations from a foreign country (Belarus) without a serious military conflict. There could be border provocations, without raising the stakes, and the ever-present threat of nuclear weapons.

Lukashenko's logic is probably as follows:
1. The expectation that there will be no "great war";
2. This situation is a chance for him to try to mediate, to "help" the West, in order to get some security guarantees for himself.

The statement of a US Senator that Wagner's appearance in Poland is tantamount to activating NATO Article 5 is very important in this context.

So far, it looks like we are at the very beginning of this conflict and it seems the conflict could escalate over the next few months.

The probability of serious military confrontation is low, but the threat of nuclear weapons is high. At the same time, Ukraine will have to keep quite large reserves in the north and northwest.

Niger produces almost a third of the EU's uranium consumption (primarily for France). The junta's announcement that it is stopping uranium exports to Europe and France's preparation of a ground operation (there is a French military base in the country, after all) creates a rather difficult situation, especially for the French. For France, getting involved in the war in Niger, against the backdrop of neighbouring Mali and Burkina Faso stating that they view the ground operation as an invasion of their territory, could mean getting involved in a serious conflict in a large part of Africa.

As for Russia, only Wagner's forces will probably be able to fight there, which is an advantage for us. Putin's logic in such conflicts is likely very simple: he provides some military assistance and urges the leader to hold on to till the end(the logic worked with Maduro and Assad). Ultimately, he needs to win time and create a field for raising stakes, so he is shaking up the situation. Now, a lot will depend on the French army and its readiness to resolve the conflict quickly.

To summarise: we can assume that Russia has added two more points to the hunger games - the nuclear power plant and nuclear blackmail to try to raise the stakes. Indirectly, this suggests that the autumn window for negotiations is almost closed. One of the important moments will be the announcement or non-announcement of mobilisation under the guise of aid to Belarus. True, a mirror gesture should be made by Lukashenko.

However, in any case, we need to prepare for at least a few very important things:

〰 A major information war will probably begin in the West. The essence of this war comes down to the formula: "why should we give so much to Ukraine, we need to think about our own security", especially against the backdrop of the elections in Poland;

〰 Ukraine needs to prepare more actively for a hard winter now.

Ukraine needs to be prepared for Russia's announcement of a new wave of mobilization now (Putin has time until October, then he will be busy with elections)."

"The United States has said it takes NATO's security seriously after an incident involving the violation of Polish airspace by Belarusian military helicopters.

"There is a process that allows NATO countries to invoke Article Five. We are not at that stage at the moment," emphasized State Department spokesman Miller."



_________

""Why are there so few liberated territories?"

Here's why. This is why war is not a football match. There are many Russian fortifications in the occupied territories, and demining is an extremely difficult, dangerous, and time-consuming process."

[RedactedKaos]

Finding out what article 5 is all about right now

[WonderMomma]

Originally Posted by RedactedKaos ↗

Finding out what article 5 is all about right now

Basically, if one country attacks any NATO country it's considered an attack on them all. A declaration of war and NATO countries would join forces to stop it.

The key section of the treaty is Article 5. Its commitment clause defines the casus foederis. It commits each member state to consider an armed attack against one member state, in the areas defined by Article 6, to be an armed attack against them all. Upon such attack, each member state is to assist by taking "such action as [the member state] deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area." The article has only been invoked once, but considered in a number of other cases.

[WonderMomma]

Click the white arrows in the quotes to see the OPs.

Originally Posted by WonderMomma ↗

**CIVILIAN WARNING** (EDIT: added another photo, civilian warning, 2 more aftermath videos)



Sorry if this is a repost... found a couple more pieces of media. All posted in the early morning hours of 18 January.

1. Photo of the kindergarten in Brovary into which the helicopter crashed. Currently it is reported that 18 people are dead, 3 of them children. 29 wounded, 15 of them children.

2-4. Minister of Internal Affairs Denys Monastyrskyi, his 1st deputy Yevhen Yenin and Ministry's state secretary Yurii Lubkovych

5-9. Aftermath photos.

10-12. Aftermath videos

Originally Posted by WonderMomma ↗

Some updates from authorities/witness with English subs.

A follow up on the helicopter crash on 18 January of this year. The number killed/wounded is accurate in the statement below, versus the quotes above.

"The SBI reconstructed the helicopter's tragic flight in detail and published a recording of the pilots' negotiations before the crash.

The crew, untrained for such difficult flights, was flying at an extremely low altitude - even lower than the height of the buildings on the route. When the commander saw an obstacle, the helicopter rose sharply and was lost in space. This led to the crash - the helicopter landed next to a kindergarten, damaging it and neighboring houses.

In addition to Interior Minister Denys Monastyrsky and his deputy, Yevhen Yenin, four women and a young child were killed. 31 people, including 13 children, were injured."


#highprofile #kyiv

[WonderMomma]

Originally Posted by WonderMomma ↗

"The United States has said it takes NATO's security seriously after an incident involving the violation of Polish airspace by Belarusian military helicopters.

"There is a process that allows NATO countries to invoke Article Five. We are not at that stage at the moment," emphasized State Department spokesman Miller."

If I find anything else about this before I go offline in about 30 minutes, I will update this post.

"Poland has deployed attack helicopters to the border with Belarus after Belarusian Mi-24 and Mi-8 violated its airspace. The helicopters will be based in two locations and will operate in an "immediate response mode."

The Polish side has warned that the helicopters are "ready for battle" and "will not hesitate to use weapons."

Meanwhile, the Belarusian Foreign Ministry summons the Polish ambassador. Belarusian authorities deny violating Polish airspace and demand explanations."