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#11
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08-03-2024, 11:55 AM
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| ♚ Legacy Gold Member ♚ Poster Rank:3504 Join Date: Mar 2018 Posts: 100 Mentioned: 0 Post(s) Quoted: 53 Post(s)
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
Sinwar next. All other main Hamas top leaders who were active and responsible for 7th October are already dead.
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#12
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08-04-2024, 10:02 PM
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
IDF finds tunnel large enough for vehicles to drive through in Gaza-Egypt border area 4 Aug 2024 The army has uncovered an unusually large tunnel on the Gaza-Egypt border area, big enough for vehicles to pass through, the Israel Defense Force said Sunday. According to the military, the tunnel was around three meters (10 feet) tall. It was located along the so-called Philadelphi Route last week, as part of efforts to uncover all of Hamas’s arms-smuggling routes in the area. The tunnel was being investigated by combat engineers before it was to be demolished, the military said. Dozens of tunnels have been found along the Philadelphi corridor, including at least 25 that crossed into Egypt. The tunnel’s discovery came amid continued fighting in Gaza’s south and center. |
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#13
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08-04-2024, 10:21 PM
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
Israel weighing preemptive strike on Iran if intelligence shows attack is imminent 04 Aug 2024 Israel would consider launching a preemptive strike to deter Iran if it uncovered airtight evidence that Tehran was preparing to mount an attack, Hebrew media reported after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened Israel’s security chiefs for a meeting on Sunday evening. The meeting, attended by Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Herzi Halevi, Mossad head David Barnea and Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar, was held amid preparations for anticipated attacks on Israel by Iran and its Lebanese ally Hezbollah. The assessment that Iran is likely to attack Israel in the coming days or weeks follows last week’s back-to-back assassinations of Hezbollah military chief Fuad Shukr in Beirut and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. Iran has blamed Israel for Haniyeh’s death and has vowed to retaliate. Israel is not certain what to expect from Iran and its proxies, reports have estimated, and so is discussing a wide range of options as to how it can best respond to, or prevent, an anticipated assault. During the meeting with Netanyahu, the option of striking Iran as a deterrence measure was discussed, Ynet reported, although security officials stressed that such a move would only be authorized if Israel received definite intelligence confirming that Tehran was about to launch an attack of its own. Jerusalem would require its own intelligence on the issue to match up with US intelligence on the matter, the report said, and even if it did match, it may still choose to avoid going down the route of a preemptive strike. Like Israel, the US was said on Sunday to be unsure what an attack by Iran could look like, as it believes Tehran has yet to come to a final decision and is unlikely to have finished coordinating with its proxies. In addition to a US-led international coalition that has been taking shape in recent days to thwart any attacks, officials were said to believe that another advantage Israel has in its arsenal, which it did not have when Iran previously attacked on April 13, is foreknowledge. As the April attack was the first time that Iran ever launched an attack from its own soil, there were a lot of unknowns, including uncertainty about how large the assault would be. This time around, however, Israel will know if the attack is shaping up to be similar in scope to the previous one — when around 99 percent of the roughly 300 missiles and drones launched from Iran were intercepted by Israel and its allies — or if it will be larger, as some assessments have reportedly indicated will be the case. Even if the attack is larger, the assessment from within the government is that Israel will be able to withstand it, and will once again be able to mount an appropriate defense with the help of a coalition of allies, Ynet reported. Photo: A man rides his moped past a billboard bearing portraits of slain terror leaders, Ismail Haniyeh of Hamas (left), Iranian Quds Force chief Qasem Soleimani (C), and Hezbollah senior commander Fuad Shukr on the main road near the Beirut International Airport on August 3, 2024. |
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#14
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08-04-2024, 10:43 PM
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
Beirut citizens fleeing Hezbollah stronghold 04 Aug 2024 According to reports from Dahiya, the Hezbollah stronghold in southern Beirut, there is complete hysteria and residents are looking to flee from it for fear of a war with Israel. According to the reports, since the assassination of the senior Hezbollah Fuad Shukar, many residents of the Dahiya are looking for housing solutions in "safe areas" away from the area where Shukar was killed. Mirna Al-Ashkar, a real estate broker, was quoted as saying: "The rent for furnished apartments has increased from $600 a month for a four-room apartment, located outside the southern suburbs, to at least $1,800 a month." According to her, "the brokers and the apartment owners agreed to a guarantee worth at least six months' rent." According to the reports, the rental price of furnished apartments in the area further from Dahiya has soared in recent days to the price of $2,000 a month. Influx of fleeing citizens are also crowding Beirut International Airport, which has temporarily changed its name to "Beirut Sardine Emporium." |
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#15
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08-04-2024, 11:18 PM
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
Question: What's to worry, Lebanon? Answer: Four years ago: The Beirut Port Explosion Exactly 4 years ago, on August 4, 2020, one of the largest non-nuclear explosions in history occurred in Beirut due to the detonation of 1100 tons of explosives. This incident occurred as a result of the storage and smuggling of explosives for the production of bombs and rockets, which the Lebanese Hezbollah illegally stored in the middle of the port. As a result of the explosion, many civilians were killed and injured and parts of the city were completely destroyed. |
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#16
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08-04-2024, 11:47 PM
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
Libby Cohen Meguri, 22: "God sprinkled her with charisma powder" Murdered while trying to flee the Supernova music festival on October 7 Libby Cohen Meguri, 22, from Tel Aviv, was murdered by Hamas terrorists while trying to flee the Supernova music festival on October 7. Libby went to the party with her close friend, Adi Rivka Maizel. When the rocket fire began, the pair tried to flee the site of the rave in their car and were shot dead by terrorists lying in wait on the side of the road. Libby was able to call her family after she had already been mortally wounded and explained to them the situation. After she told them that she loved them, she was murdered in a volley of shots that the family heard in the call. She is survived by her mother, twin brother, and younger sister. Her mother Shelly Meshel-Yogev described Libby to Channel 12 as “the happiest person this world has ever known. She was a chunk of energy, happy, light, and laughing, from the moment she woke in the morning until the moment she went to sleep.” Shelly’s husband Yariv Yogev told the Kan public broadcaster that “God sprinkled Libby with charisma powder.” “She could never be passive about any suffering, or any weakness in society,” Yogev said. “To anyone who needed help.” After completing her army service as an officer in an infantry unit, Libby spent time abroad, as is common for released soldiers, touring in South America for seven months. Lest we forget, RIP Daughter of Israel Israel: No quarter for the militant Arab nations who planned and executed 7Oct United States: It's 2024. Time to do a plea deal with the 11Sep2001 killers that we still have in lockup. |
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#18
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08-07-2024, 01:16 AM
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| ★ Legacy Member ★ Poster Rank:707 Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 1,193 Mentioned: 1 Post(s) Quoted: 485 Post(s)
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
In the wake of the Teheran assassination: Yahya Sinwar is appointed new Hamas leader. The Hamas political leader of Gaza, the architect of Oct 7th, is now the highest ranking Hamas operative. Wounder whether its possible to effectively lead this organisation from a tunnel. He probably can't even use a satellite phone without getting pinpointed and killed by IDF. Main reason for his 'election' is probably the simple fact that most of Hamas' old guard have been taken out. Remaining Hamas billionaires abroad, like Chalid Maschal, probably hesitated to take over... Latest eliminations from the last hours: Hamas/Al Qassam spokesman. Quite a catch. For years Abu Obaida's identity was unknown. He was doing announcements strictly disguised. ![]() Two high ranking political Hamas operatives. Hamas / Al Qassam btn comander. ______________________________________ The Iranian 'Missile City'. A network of tunnels and caverns inside an Iranian mountain range. There the missiles are under storage and permanent maintenance. Inside the tunnels missiles get loaded on these launch vehicles and getting deployed to the desired launch sites. There are launch pads within the site as well. Aerial / sat photos of the tunnel exits where the missile trucks leave the base. Surface structures. Overview over the whole missile base from farther away. This won't be easy. |
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#19
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08-07-2024, 04:10 AM
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
While Iran’s rival intelligence agencies may know a lot more, the data available in the public domain is enough to prove that such Iranian military sites are prone to pre-emptive strikes for it is one of the most satellite-monitored or surveilled countries in the world. As a base prepares to launch strikes, it is possible for Iran’s rivals to launch a pre-emptive attack. If this opportunity is not taken, Iran’s missiles can be intercepted on course to their target. In case of a successful hit in a rival’s territory, safeguarding such sites against deep penetration heavy bombs is not guaranteed. Iran’s media dubbed the IRGC naval base as having the capability to launch “missiles, naval mines with different ranges, firing at 360-degrees, confronting electronic warfare, and increasing the range and destruction power in operations.” IRGC Commander Major General Hossein Salami said at the unveiling ceremony, “What we see today is a small section of the great and expansive missile capability of Revolutionary Guards’ naval forces.” In July 2020, the IRGC’s navy chief Rear-Admiral Alireza Tangsiri claimed that Iran had built underground missile cities along the Gulf coastline, warning of a “nightmare for Iran’s enemies.” Jane’s Defense reported two days after the missile city’s unveiling ceremony that the underground base is known to have been in existence since at least 2003 and is connected to tunnels that were constructed from 2009. “A known ballistic missile base to the immediate northeast also has tunnels.” Iran’s military, whose “forward defense” doctrine puts missiles and drones at the forefront, has said that the depots are spread across the country 500 meters beneath the mountains. So far, at least half a dozen such subterranean bases have been located while Tehran has officially announced the existence of three. It is suspected that Iran is busy developing a similar base or bases in Syria where Israel has routinely attacked its T-4 military airbase. Since the emergence of underground missile bases, various rival powers have invested in them heavily. Throughout the Cold War, the United States and Soviet Union kept nuclear ballistic missiles in a fire-ready condition in underground bases. However, they were not immune from enemy attacks. The concepts of deterrence and balance of power meant that underground intercontinental missiles were never used. Even decades ago, the United States and the Soviet Union could locate each other’s underground missile bases via satellite imagery, espionage or secret aerial surveillance. In the 21st century, Iran is employing a decades old military strategy and hoping for similar results. Discounting their vulnerability to direct enemy attacks, sabotage, or cyberattacks, Iran has continued to build covert, deep bases to project its military power and display resilience in the wake of conflict. As the IRGC has been building underground bases for over a decade now, its rivals have developed capabilities to bury them deeper into the ground. Launching an attack from a hidden or underground location leaves its own tell-tale electronic signatures that can be tracked, and the source neutralized. Considering the vulnerabilities listed above, Iran is seemingly building deeper into the ground on a wider area separated by a network of tunnels while keeping such constructions immune from cyberattacks as much as possible. The situation also brings to the fore the dilemma of false alarms and miscalculation of rival actions. Such isolated, trigger-ready underground bases like during the Cold War are prone to launching accidental strikes. To conclude, Iran’s underground bases do not guarantee military superiority over its rivals, however, they still increase the likelihood of a second strike even in conventional terms. The mere fact that Iran prefers to boast of their existence proves that it is more interested in intimidation than initiating a direct conflict, besides serving the objective of boosting public morale while the Iranian people continue to suffer because of deteriorating socio-economic conditions, which have led to ongoing protests and a decrease in the legitimacy of the political system. |
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#20
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08-08-2024, 09:05 PM
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Re: ISRAEL/PALESTINE/IRAN/LEBANON Conflict Discussion Thread VI (2024)
Two reports of Syrian troop and weapons transfers into Lebanon: 31 Sep 2024 175 Syrian soldiers crossed from the Rachel area towards Lebanon and were taken in after coordination with Hezbollah. The force that came in from the ranks of the 4th and 25th divisions and also from the Republican Guard. Another small force belongs to the 15th Division of the Syrian Special Forces. The reinforcement was accompanied by 17 armored military vehicles, about 25 military vehicles equipped with heavy machine guns and 23 mm anti-aircraft guns. 7 minibuses in which the soldiers traveled, three trucks, two of which are loaded with weapons, ammunition and various military equipment. The third truck was loaded with shells and charges for field guns and short-range ammunition. 07 Aug 2024 300 Syrian soldiers armed and with suitcases entered Lebanon from the area of the village of Yabus, under heavy security and frequent flights of the Syrian Air Force. Yesterday they entered with the following military equipment: 7 tanks and more than 20 military vehicles, some of them armored and some equipped with automatic machine guns. 5 trucks with containers loaded with boxes of ammunition and weapons, in addition to several missile launchers and rockets, medium and short range rockets. Pic: Probably just a file photo. |